People assume that there exists a coherent well developed common sense view of the probable long term future. The real common sense when speaking of one's own future is to assume that in 40 years you will be 40 years older and it will still be 2009. When speaking of the world's future, common sense is to take a single trend from the last 20 years and extrapolate it linearly, throwing in one random cliche taken from science fiction movies. When deciding what to do (nominally) about the future, common sense is to imitate the nominally future oriented behavior of those who you see as similar to yourself but slightly more successful with the opposite sex.
-Michael Vassar, SIAI President
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